UNIVERSITE
Niels Keiding (Department of Biostatistics, University of Copenhagen)
The current duration approach to estimating the distribution of time to pregnancy, with application to ObsEff : the Observatory of Fecundity in France
Time to pregnancy is the duration from a couple starts trying to become pregnant until they succeed and is considered one of the most direct methods to measure natural fecundity in humans. Statistical tools for designing and analysing time to pregnancy studies belong to the general area of survival analysis, but several features require special attention. Prospective designs are difficult to carry out and retrospective (pregnancy-based) designs, being widely used in this area, do not allow efficiently including couples remaining childless.
A third possible design starts from a cross-sectional sample of couples currently trying to become pregnant, using current duration (backward recurrence time) as basis for the estimation of time to pregnancy/end of pregnancy attempt. Regression analysis is then most conveniently carried out in the accelerated failure time model.
This talk surveys some practical and technical-statistical issues in implementing this approach in practice in a large telephone-based survey, the Observatoire de la fertilité en France (OBSEFF).
Dans la même rubrique :
- Ségolen Geffray (IRMA, UMR 7501, Université de Strasbourg)
- Bertrand Michel (LSTA, Université Pierre et Marie Curie)
- Van Hanh Nguyen (Laboratoire Statistique et Génome, Université d’Evry et Université Paris-Sud 11)
- Tristan Mary-Huard (AgroParisTech, UMR INRA/AgroParisTech MIA 518)
- Vittorio Perduca (MAP5, Université Paris Descartes)
- Yves Rozenholc (Université Paris Descartes)
- Sébastien Gerchinovitz (DMA, Ecole normale supérieure et Université Paris-Sud)
- Maud Delattre (Laboratoire de Mathématiques, Université Paris Sud)
- Serge Cohen (CNRS/UPS3352 IPANEMA / Synchrotron SOLEIL)
- Julien Stirnemann (MAP5, Maternité et médecine materno-foetale, GHU Necker-Enfants Malades, Université Paris Descartes et CNRS)
- Laureen Ribassin-Majed (MAP5, Université Paris Descartes et CNRS)
- Aurélie Fischer (MAP5 et LSTA, Universités Paris Descartes et Pierre et Marie Curie)
- Anne-Cécile Dragon (CEBC et MAP5, Université Paris Descartes et CNRS)
- Christophe Pouzat (Laboratoire de Physiologie Cérébrale, Université Paris Descartes)
- Gaëlle Chagny (MAP5, Université Paris Descartes)
- Marc Vincent (Bases moléculaires de la réponse aux xénobiotiques, UMR-S775, Université Paris Descartes)
- Aurélien Garivier (LTCI Telecom ParisTech, CNRS UMR 5141)
- Pierre Neuvial (Laboratoire Statistique et Génome, Évry, UMR CNRS 8071/Université d’Evry/INRA)
- Simon Cauchemez (School of Public Health and Imperial College, London)
- Meïli Baragatti (IML, université de la Méditerranée et Ipsogen)
